Yes position
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Polymarket Trader
heipp15
0xe14d11e327445b04509acf1f4829e7dde19e35a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.34
- Realized PnL
- $58.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.73
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
N
No position
Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.8%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.45
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.31
No position
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $6.53
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes 1% 20 shares
- Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?Yes 1% 20 shares
- Will Trump say “Crazy” or “Amazing” 5+ times during UFC 250?Yes 0.8% 20 shares
- Will the announcers say "Pounce" during UFC 250?Yes 1.6% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?No 96% 20 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 30.2% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No 95.8% 18.79 shares
- Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes 93.8% 13.86 shares
- Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?No 97.7% 62.53 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 96% 13.77 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes 97.2% 47.32 shares
- Will XRP reach $5.00 in September?No 99.9% 16.18 shares