Polymarket Trader

Nadmi

0xe154165732b79548f7533fc45168b102dd7a0b7f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $88.77K
Realized PnL: $89.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $775
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.23K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$24.23K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $49.23K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $775
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $24.22K

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $109.46
Potential payout: $16.84K
Potential profit: $16.73K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$188.5

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $314.44
Potential payout: $14.69K
Potential profit: $14.38K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$57.53

No position

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $12.03K
Potential payout: $13.47K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.33K

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $147.68
Potential payout: $12.84K
Potential profit: $12.69K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$291.79

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $52.63
Potential payout: $11.7K
Potential profit: $11.64K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$66.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $11.02K
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $477.25
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $141.06
Potential payout: $11.29K
Potential profit: $11.14K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$260.01

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $245
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.76K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $145

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$129.98

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $5.79K
Potential payout: $9.33K
Potential profit: $3.55K
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: -$425.79

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $112.44
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $8.88K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$74.36

Yes position

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $30.4
Potential payout: $8.68K
Potential profit: $8.65K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $167.81
Potential payout: $8.19K
Potential profit: $8.02K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$256.53

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.48K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$53.61

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $7.12K
Potential profit: $676.32
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.9K

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $5.61K
Potential profit: $4.24K
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $276.74

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $43.56
Potential payout: $5.45K
Potential profit: $5.4K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$123.75

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $24.21
Potential payout: $5.38K
Potential profit: $5.36K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $16.54

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $119.67
Potential payout: $5.09K
Potential profit: $4.97K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $53.97

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $64.71

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $285
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.72K
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $183.52

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $17.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7K

No position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94K

No position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.63K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.95K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.19K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.13K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.95K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Yes 33% 690.18 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 0.3% 13,113.81 shares
Will Warsh say "Stable" or "Stability" during June Press Conference?

No 11% 20 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

No 0.4% 1,605.71 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 187,841.05 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 4.4% 6,062.5 shares
Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 13% 24.61 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 38% 6.62 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 200 shares
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

No 25.3% 80.9 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 2.7% 200 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 23.8% 378.78 shares