Polymarket Trader

oculus1

0xe168b5394c715b1714b5093d22c681556d3ee559

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $8.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $414.29
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $157.14
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.16
Potential profit: $567.16
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $402.3
Potential payout: $459.77
Potential profit: $57.47
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.3

Over position

FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $403.29
Potential profit: $403.29
User PnL: -$297.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.4
Potential profit: $342.4
User PnL: -$290.15

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $198.8
Potential payout: $240.96
Potential profit: $42.17
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $145.39
Potential payout: $174.12
Potential profit: $28.73
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$2.61

Yes position

Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $62.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $87.75
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $29.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $21.98
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998.44

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $860.74

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $597.09

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.41

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.9

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.84

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $321.17

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.68

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.87

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.27

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.71

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.52

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.86

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.05

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.54

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.52

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.74

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.44

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Scotland vs. Brazil: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 150 shares
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

No 66% 117.41 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 63% 952.38 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 50% 534.34 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 61% 450 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 85% 174.12 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 70% 571.43 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 83% 240.96 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 87% 459.77 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 61% 600 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 63% 1,111.11 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 58% 344.83 shares