No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $14.15K
- Potential payout
- $14.34K
- Potential profit
- $193.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $717.47
Polymarket Trader
megaforest
0xe172d9e17386f9b4298e2e6eaf8c66d8a8b4e8e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.02K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.56K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $7.71K
- Potential payout
- $8.25K
- Potential profit
- $536.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $682.6
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $7.22K
- Potential payout
- $7.81K
- Potential profit
- $585.73
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $698
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.59K
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $538.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $795.33
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $337.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $84.73
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $462.19
- Potential payout
- $485.49
- Potential profit
- $23.3
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $280.48
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $14.41
- Potential profit
- $10.81
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.39
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.38
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.61
No position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.84
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$32.76
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$479.18
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.41K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 33% 14.41 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 86% 5,093.55 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 85% 1,843.54 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 84% 5,440.2 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 84% 3,153.45 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.4% 8,000 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.5% 333.21 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.8% 2,667.48 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 40% 10 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 45.8% 232 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 96.8% 115 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 90% 1,774.81 shares