Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Polymarket Trader
237492103894712349
0xe176897ced0ae142dda0f98dd949338fffb97f65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $14.28K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.41
- Potential profit
- $8.41
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $534.12
Yes position
Will Trump say "Turkey" or "Turkiye" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.13
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.34
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.54
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?Yes 87.7% 81.41 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.2% 13.66 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.3% 6.83 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.3% 6.83 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 87.2% 10,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 89.3% 10,000 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes 90% 4,194.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Yes 92.7% 173.4 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 66% 124.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 69.8% 17,055.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Yes 95.1% 515 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Yes 95.7% 508 shares