No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $225.03
- Potential profit
- $224.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$41.89
Polymarket Trader
LordFrognton
0xe17ef996c1aa8279cf1cb8647d8ba0b2a0227bb3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.49
- Realized PnL
- $51.99
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $43.27
- Potential profit
- $34.9
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.61
- Potential profit
- $27.61
- User PnL
- -$18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.04
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.73
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 13.9% 194.42 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 49% 30.61 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 46% 28.26 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Yes 49% 32.65 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 99.9% 18.64 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20.8% 43.27 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 27.59 shares
- Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?Yes 59% 18.64 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 99.9% 30.76 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 52% 30.77 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 65.2% 27.61 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes 99.9% 30.63 shares