Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $5.64K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Polymarket Trader
Defqon1
0xe18555cff881bdd288e68f20ace14ba5c7a45f21
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $816.4
- Realized PnL
- -$1.37K
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- User PnL
- -$691.63
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $816.4
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$683.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$689.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $392.38
- Potential profit
- $392.38
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.15
Up position
Solana Up or Down on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $166.67
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$583.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$810.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 39.5% 3,797.2 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 17.7% 5,635.61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No 62.3% 1,089.12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 59% 833.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 60% 833.33 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 55% 925.92 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 54% 925.93 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.1% 899.14 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 33% 1,111.11 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 18% 1,111.11 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes 32% 937.5 shares
- Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?Yes 31% 645.16 shares