Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $14.22
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $64.78
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
Ella275
0xe18d09e2b914c0d08e329b30e0fb70a736b6f86a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.22
- Realized PnL
- $11.18
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 80 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 146 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 88 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 12% 151 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 4 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 60 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 71% 13 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes 19.3% 83 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 48 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 123 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.9% 57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 83% 38 shares