Polymarket Trader

FlashTradeOracle

@CheshireCatNick

0xe196f409e71330371e9b9b7a4e09596ac04a0ab5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.24K
Realized PnL: $91.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $6.96K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 59 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $6.96K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $6.96K
User PnL: -$1.42K

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.96K
Potential profit: $6.96K
User PnL: -$920.33

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$228.13

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$47.51

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$283.12

Yes position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $15.39
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $794.64

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$139.28

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$85.56

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be between $20B and $25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$152.68

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$81.65

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$283.41

Yes position

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $979
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $353
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $647
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: $73.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $987
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $973
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $990.5
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $983
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.2%
Current value: $502.4
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $497.6
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: $331.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95K

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6K

Yes position

Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54K

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48K

Yes position

Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 57 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52K

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24K

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

Yes position

Will CA Barracas Central vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06K

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí end in a draw?

Yes 15.2% 12.5 shares
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 75% 12.5 shares
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 7.4% 14.29 shares
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 76% 14.29 shares
Will Club The Strongest vs. Bamin Real Potosí end in a draw?

Yes 15% 14.29 shares
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Yes 31% 5 shares
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?

Yes 30% 9.28 shares
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 22% 14.28 shares
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 46% 14.28 shares
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 20% 50.84 shares
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-05-10?

Yes 53% 50.84 shares