Polymarket Trader

baikong

0xe19a78f39a5b56d675e97d49b66c43b3f940a07f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $91.29
Realized PnL: $461.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.91
Potential profit: $105.91
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.28
Potential profit: $79.28
User PnL: -$44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $26.86
Potential payout: $45.92
Potential profit: $19.06
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$8.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.62
Potential profit: $30.62
User PnL: -$30

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $22.98
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.5

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.97
Potential profit: $14.97
User PnL: -$10.18

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $13.75
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.61

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.91
Potential profit: $12.91
User PnL: -$10

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $10.79
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.18
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.8
Potential profit: $5.8
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.04

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $2.75
User PnL: -$2.2

JD Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

EDward Gaming position

LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.44

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.73

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.54

Gen.G position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.7

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.06

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.31

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

No position

North Korea missile test by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.15

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 95% 21.05 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 38% 5.26 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 12% 8.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 98.6% 10.14 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 30% 3.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 82% 6.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 81% 6.17 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

No 48% 2.08 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 52% 1.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 77% 6.49 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 2.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 75% 6.67 shares