Polymarket Trader

Jaffe

0xe1a6864952783191f34a0dc1e36e4e16a5210ac6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.35
Realized PnL: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.27K
Potential profit: $35.27K
User PnL: -$178.53

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $961.54
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $662.01
Potential profit: $662.01
User PnL: -$49.97

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $539.89
Potential profit: $539.89
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $96.81
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $115.96
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.64
Potential profit: $197.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $141.09
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$6.16

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.94
Potential profit: $118.94
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $93.64
Potential profit: $92.93
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.78
Potential profit: $66.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.84
Potential profit: $32.84
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.02

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.33

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.03

Yes position

Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.85

Yes position

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.67

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.05

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.16

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.22

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.78

Yes position

Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.88

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 60% 833.33 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 64% 31.25 shares
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 42% 119.05 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 961.54 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 6.6% 151.52 shares
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 29.6% 67.57 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 6.6% 151.52 shares
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 17.9% 56 shares