Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $10.62K
- Potential payout
- $163.42K
- Potential profit
- $152.8K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$22.49K
Polymarket Trader
alienbid
0xe1a8e339fd424851eff353b690aaa7897c49a3d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.74K
- Realized PnL
- -$278.85
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $378.47
- Potential profit
- $378.47
- User PnL
- -$250.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.19
- Potential profit
- $139.19
- User PnL
- -$101.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $118.51
- Potential payout
- $118.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $18.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.7
- Potential profit
- $67.7
- User PnL
- -$34.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.46
- Potential profit
- $23.46
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.67
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$20.73
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$76.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 28.2% 6.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp 75% 130.99 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 67.1% 223.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETUp 65% 149.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETUp 84% 117.97 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 1,000 shares