No position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.48
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$3.48
Polymarket Trader
ngok996
0xe1a96e3065e96d5fbdd06215f00e5c1622f3339e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $197.6
- Realized PnL
- $443.84
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.63
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
No position
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Ends Aug 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Ends Jun 6, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.8
- Multiplier
- 5.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.5
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
No position
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35.76
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the OH-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.25
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.75
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $15.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $34.75
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.25
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.75
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $11.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Robert Kenyon finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.16
No position
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.20x
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.54
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $8
N
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $8
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?No 1.1% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No 29% 5 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?No 21% 7.59 shares
- Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?No 30% 9 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No 30% 5 shares
- Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?No 14.6% 50 shares
- Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?No 29% 41 shares
- Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?No 1% 40.58 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 30% 50 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 29.8% 50 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No 25% 50 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by June 30?No 26% 50 shares