Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $405.46
- Potential profit
- $398.77
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
Polymarket Trader
Davidka1976
0xe1abe5112641fd8cb2d9dfcb3ffa2597fc36b720
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $351.8
- Realized PnL
- $3.88
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.9%
- Current value
- $139.68
- Potential payout
- $245.61
- Potential profit
- $105.93
- Multiplier
- 1.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $50.69
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $52.76
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.6%
- Current value
- $53.53
- Potential payout
- $89.78
- Potential profit
- $36.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $33.62
- Potential payout
- $87.21
- Potential profit
- $53.59
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.1%
- Current value
- $36.52
- Potential payout
- $70.07
- Potential profit
- $33.55
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $53.8
- Potential profit
- $50.93
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$27.12
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $10.69
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $10.03
- Potential payout
- $10.18
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.29
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.97
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?No 55.8% 53.8 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57% 52.63 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 53% 56.6 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 60% 50 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 48.39 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 48.3% 103.45 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.5% 405.46 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes 14% 107.14 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57% 175.44 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 62% 80.65 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 60% 16.67 shares