Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $18.71
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
Serenewoodq
0xe1b6a8647605b7960b6bdb27c28598e7eb2ec625
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.7
- Realized PnL
- $12.21
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.49
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.47
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.2% 18.71 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 18.71 shares
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No 96.6% 17.61 shares
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No 96.5% 17.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 68.2% 22.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96.4% 22.82 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.8% 25.64 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.6% 25.64 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.1% 22.68 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97% 22.68 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.4% 25.23 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 95.1% 25.24 shares