Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.24K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
0xe1BEfa851feDD35D0F8a67460fbB342B064Dc3f6-1776848739595
0xe1befa851fedd35d0f8a67460fbb342b064dc3f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.09K
- Realized PnL
- $678.51
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$154.24
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $55.09
- Potential payout
- $925.93
- Potential profit
- $870.83
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $484.27
- Potential payout
- $586.99
- Potential profit
- $102.72
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$16.91
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $37.91
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $532.1
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$11.68
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $459.75
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $58.41
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $396.14
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $8.41
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $42.63
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $267.38
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$7.59
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $56.94
- Potential payout
- $308.64
- Potential profit
- $251.7
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $195.99
- Potential payout
- $278
- Potential profit
- $82.01
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $66.14
- Potential payout
- $198.33
- Potential profit
- $132.19
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $16.14
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $12.78
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $154.22
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$7.26
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.29
- Potential profit
- $35.29
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.77
- Potential profit
- $26.77
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.09
- Potential profit
- $26.09
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.57
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $94.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.08
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.97
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.54
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.43
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.24
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $19.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $12.2
FC Bayern Munchen position
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Minnesota Twins position
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 109 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 31% 12.5 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 16% 12.5 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 23% 20.83 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 278 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 46% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.3% 212.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.6% 347.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 10% 86.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 91% 109.89 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 86.5 shares