Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Risky-MooLa
0xe1d2f456a0bc188cb67615395a3e9a153a8e0ecf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.39K
- Realized PnL
- $4.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $787.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $599.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.11
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.11
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.11
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.11
Yes position
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $459.77
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.98
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.09
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.8
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.09
Yes position
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.39
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $396
- Potential profit
- $396
- User PnL
- -$7.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $389.2
- Potential profit
- $389.2
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $368
- Potential profit
- $368
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $360
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $232.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $211.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.58
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- $185.71
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $185.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.2
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.2
No position
Will Trump say "Karoline Leavitt" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.08
No position
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Israel" during press conference?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 20?No 99.9% 18.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 20?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on June 20?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 20?No 99.9% 46.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 20?No 99.8% 50.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 20?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 20?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 20?No 99.8% 50.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 20?No 99.9% 50.05 shares