Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.3K
- Potential profit
- $128.3K
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
Polymarket Trader
0xPolymath
0xe1e7036279433715711a65fc3254a8af558c5fb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $643.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.99K
- Potential profit
- $123.99K
- User PnL
- -$6.77K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.93K
- Potential profit
- $89.93K
- User PnL
- -$12.98K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.93K
- Potential profit
- $20.93K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.26K
- Potential profit
- $16.26K
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.25K
- Potential profit
- $16.25K
- User PnL
- -$314.89
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$693.88
Yes position
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.24K
- Potential profit
- $7.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $116K on September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$100.09
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $979.23
- Potential profit
- $979.23
- User PnL
- -$566.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.94K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.17K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.78K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.53K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.52K
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.38K
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31K
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.15K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1K
No position
Will there be another debate?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41K
Yes position
Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate?
Ends Aug 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09K
Yes position
Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
Yes position
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87K
Yes position
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
East coast port strike ends by next Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39K
No position
Fed rate cut by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
No position
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Yes position
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
No position
Fed rate cut by March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Trump flips a 2020 Biden state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $840.99
No position
Taylor Swift #1 album for 4 weeks?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $833.92
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.54
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Dolphins
Ends Sep 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.15
No position
Trump blowout victory?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.34
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $317.49
Yes position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $209.13
Yes position
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Trans" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $185.53
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.06
No position
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.85
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 3?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161
No position
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.49
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.68
Van position
UFC 317: Royval vs. Van
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.66
No position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.79
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "IVF" or "In vitro" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.93
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out first?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes 6.3% 859.78 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No 53.9% 3,000 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No 57.9% 979.23 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes 29.4% 3,398.25 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes 3.1% 24,384.28 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?No 84.5% 35,497.95 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?No 58.6% 8,525.26 shares
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes 15% 10,000 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 8.6% 30,000 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 5.1% 29,999 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 4.6% 20,057.77 shares
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes 4.5% 15,000 shares