No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $900.59
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $260.71
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $639.24
Polymarket Trader
0xe1f3...85de
0xe1f3852bdcd04ce35ca9166bdb919e78000885de
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.46K
- Realized PnL
- $5.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $412.79
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $606.44
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $224.15
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $584.28
- Potential payout
- $584.57
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $119.23
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $23.12
- Potential payout
- $285.46
- Potential profit
- $262.33
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$8.96
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $18.16
- Potential payout
- $271.01
- Potential profit
- $252.86
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$41.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $213.49
- Potential payout
- $225.56
- Potential profit
- $12.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $205.74
- Potential payout
- $205.84
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $98.59
- Potential payout
- $140.85
- Potential profit
- $42.26
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.15
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $701.83
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $657.7
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.95
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.35
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $269.99
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.71
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.77
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.97
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.58
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.54
No position
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.63
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.61
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.11
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.4
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 91.2% 109.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 86.1% 33.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 44% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 31.4% 82.11 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 42% 140 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No 71% 69.61 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 32.6% 49.04 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 19.9% 116.49 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 4.7% 88.67 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.7% 569.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 26% 10.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 90% 110.6 shares