Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $405.49
- Potential profit
- $405.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0xe1FA608193D0fBc09DA16eEa86d1D83536bB1A49-1781588682023
0xe1fa608193d0fbc09da16eea86d1d83536bb1a49
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.84
- Realized PnL
- -$70
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $29.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $120.75
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $139.42
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$14.42
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5.77
- Potential payout
- $115.44
- Potential profit
- $109.67
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $82.89
- Potential profit
- $64.65
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Yes 30% 66.67 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 25% 200 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 24.1% 82.89 shares
- Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes 13.8% 145 shares
- Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 8.7% 115.44 shares
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 20% 150 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp 63% 39.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown 44% 56.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 17?Yes 2.5% 405.49 shares