Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $474.75
- Potential profit
- $474.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Polymarket Trader
61sfds
0xe20afab92a813e87a5e54b5afeca24e6d77bd74f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.15
- Realized PnL
- $5.54
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $409.28
- Potential profit
- $409.28
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Team Liquid win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $269.68
- Potential profit
- $269.28
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $185.18
- Potential profit
- $182.96
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.3
- Potential profit
- $175.3
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Y
Yes position
Will Germany (10) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171
- Potential profit
- $171
- User PnL
- -$0.54
N
No position
Will there be 5+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.7
- Potential profit
- $155.7
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $89.45
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Y
Yes position
Will Haiti record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.02
- Potential profit
- $73.02
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $71.66
- Potential profit
- $71.19
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $63.48
- Potential profit
- $61.61
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $60.84
- Potential profit
- $58.95
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Y
Yes position
Will keiko win the Masters London MVP
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $46.64
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $9.75
Y
Yes position
Will leaf win the Masters London MVP
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.9%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $45.7
- Potential profit
- $41.63
- Multiplier
- 11.24x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Y
Yes position
Will Rafael Leao join Inter Milan?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $36.28
- Potential profit
- $36.19
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will there be 15+ VAR decisions overturned during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $36.2
- Potential profit
- $33.83
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $29.34
- Potential profit
- $29.15
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Y
Yes position
Will there be 25+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $29.2
- Potential profit
- $28.79
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Y
Yes position
Will Panama be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $27.58
- Potential profit
- $27.47
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $27.12
- Potential profit
- $26.51
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $26.55
- Potential profit
- $21.24
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $2.73
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $25.69
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $22.42
- Potential profit
- $21.84
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $21.8
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $3.09
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will FURIA win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Noble launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Czechia record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Y
Yes position
Will South Africa record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be at least 3.6%?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 17% 5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 1.9% 50 shares
- Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 45% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 2% 29.43 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 2% 41 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 2.2% 25.8 shares
- Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 12% 16.4 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Yes 29.2% 0.91 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 1.7% 13.6 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 1.8% 20 shares