No position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $146.28
- Potential profit
- $142.47
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Polymarket Trader
Pluiy
0xe212a3091f6717347d4528963e9a0c8a299510ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.89
- Realized PnL
- -$12.57
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $9.78
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $48.28
No position
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Le Pen sentence reduced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.11
No position
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?No 2.1% 146.28 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 98.1% 66.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 75% 27.4 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 69% 21.74 shares
- Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes 73% 20.55 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 26% 66.96 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 46% 10.87 shares
- Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?No 28% 7.14 shares
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes 1.4% 138.57 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 14% 13.51 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?No 7% 142.86 shares