Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $164.82
- Potential payout
- $672.73
- Potential profit
- $507.91
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$125.92
Polymarket Trader
chacmool
0xe21571ed6b405937e2ee32d54d1df523dc3ba3d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $2.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $183
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$81
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$141.49
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $243
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $49.3
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$106
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $195.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.6
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$126
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.6
- Potential profit
- $130.6
- User PnL
- -$102.7
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $79.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $20.5
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.64
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Meta position
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $49.15
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $33.76
- Potential profit
- $7.26
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $3.64
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.8
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.92
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $172.91
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Over position
Wizards vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.99
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.25
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $370 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.8
Heat position
Hornets vs. Heat
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?
Ends Oct 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.43
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.24
Spurs position
Raptors vs. Spurs
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Magic position
Magic vs. Wizards
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.19
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes 82% 66.66 shares
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic 84% 100 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of May 18 2026?Yes 7% 99.73 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?No 83% 273.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 199.98 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?No 98.6% 52 shares
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic 84% 100 shares
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder 78% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes 93% 18.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 98.2% 300 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 78% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA say "OpenAI" during their next earnings call?Yes 98% 80.38 shares