Polymarket Trader

WW3-Monitor

0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.4K
Realized PnL: $113.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.18K
Potential profit: $109.18K
User PnL: -$1.61K

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.26K
Potential payout: $43.72K
Potential profit: $40.46K
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$1.92K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $41.21K
Potential profit: $37.71K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$4.79K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $30.35
Potential payout: $20.23K
Potential profit: $20.2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$50.2

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $10.8K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $9.2K
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$754.29

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.8%
Current value: $2.51K
Potential payout: $14.14K
Potential profit: $11.63K
Multiplier: 5.63x
User PnL: -$922.96

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.98K
Potential profit: $12.98K
User PnL: -$723.39

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$319

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $4.85K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5.15K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$458.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $6.43K
User PnL: -$234.9

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$144.88

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $38.89
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$98.36

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.64K
Potential payout: $3.64K
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: $40.58

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$1.08K

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$13.68

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $192.84
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$302.57

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.82K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $7.33
User PnL: $13.57

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $3.9
User PnL: -$2.34

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $462.55
Potential profit: $453.3
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$11.04

No position

Will Elon Musk attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $451.36
Potential payout: $455
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $346.92
Potential payout: $347.09
Potential profit: $0.17
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $191.03
Potential payout: $206.52
Potential profit: $15.49
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $59.66

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $203.67
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $0.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.88K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6K

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.4K

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24K

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $686.14

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.34

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.4

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.61

No position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $331.24

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $278.9

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.7

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.19

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.51

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.51

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.57

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.41

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $10.48

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62.1% 1,699.38 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 65.8% 361.3 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 72% 2,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 67% 3,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 65.6% 2,423.05 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 64.6% 5,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 11.6% 1,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 65% 805.68 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 58% 5,010 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.2% 2,719.17 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 8.2% 5,000 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.8% 455.74 shares