localguy

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $673.25
Potential payout: $717.36
Potential profit: $44.12
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $10.56

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $332.17
Potential payout: $333
Potential profit: $0.83
User PnL: $5.16

No position

Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $275.29
Potential payout: $275.98
Potential profit: $0.69
User PnL: $4.15

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $230.26
Potential payout: $232
Potential profit: $1.74
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $210.87
Potential payout: $211.5
Potential profit: $0.63
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $186.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $13.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.7

No position

Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $199.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $124.46
Potential payout: $196
Potential profit: $71.54
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$67.62

No position

Will Iraq be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $145.19
Potential payout: $145.41
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $3.41

No position

Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $127.51
Potential payout: $137.03
Potential profit: $9.52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$1.3

No position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $104.74
Potential payout: $108.2
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $94.94
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $98.12
Potential payout: $98.37
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will Germany be the highest-scoring team in Group E during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $86.7
Potential payout: $87.44
Potential profit: $0.74
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $76.63
Potential payout: $77.37
Potential profit: $0.74
User PnL: $3.53

No position

Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $53.79
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $50.16
Potential payout: $51.71
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $50.65
Potential payout: $50.8
Potential profit: $0.15
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.4

No position

Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $17

No position

Will Fernando Alonso win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $14.78
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $14.33
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $4.94
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Thunder

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $806.04

Natus Vincere position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380

Rockets position

Clippers vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.82

Top Esports position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.5

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.35

Celtics position

Heat vs. Celtics

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.63

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.18

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Kings

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.61

Warriors position

Grizzlies vs. Warriors

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.38

Trail Blazers position

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.2

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.65

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.32

Yes position

Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.01

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.69

Lightning position

Panthers vs. Lightning

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.43

Karmine Corp position

LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.08

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

G2 position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.78

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage