Polymarket Trader

shpagat

0xe2507e0c1c9fd8435c1f426479c7eb1bfdaabc91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.2
Realized PnL: $4.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.7K
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204
Potential profit: $204
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $85.78
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $87
Potential profit: $86
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $36
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $19.22
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.31
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $12.7
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $7.99
Potential payout: $11.74
Potential profit: $3.76
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $6.99

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $7.96
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.69x
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 8.2% 12.7 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.2% 87 shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.2% 87 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 12% 9 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 11 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?

No 8.5% 11.74 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.6% 32 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.2% 28 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 36 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 86 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 15 shares