No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $442.19
- Potential payout
- $458.46
- Potential profit
- $16.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $42.19
Polymarket Trader
Cy666
0xe25e259131c5345bf628ddcad4a2c4dce17f8440
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $627.63
- Realized PnL
- $283.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $74.73
- Potential payout
- $91.7
- Potential profit
- $16.97
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $45.83
- Potential payout
- $48.5
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $16.03
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $18.45
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $20.43
- Potential payout
- $33.76
- Potential profit
- $13.34
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
No position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $6.96
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 89% 11.24 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?No 29% 34.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 83% 36.14 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 49% 126.34 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 50% 167.49 shares
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No 50% 86.34 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 55.56 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.2% 27.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.2% 32.91 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 74% 13.51 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 15?Up 98% 20.41 shares