No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.67
- Potential profit
- $9.67
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
Erdverkochung
0xe260f8f2cad05bd6931687706293f146560c3f01
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.19
- Realized PnL
- $133.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $8.72
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $4.69
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $4.27
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $3.91
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $3.55
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $3.54
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 28?Yes 6% 3.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 28?No 99.5% 2.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?Yes 47% 3.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?No 72% 2.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?No 82% 4.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?No 92% 2.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?Yes 21% 7.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 28?Yes 32% 4.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 27?No 98.5% 4.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?No 99.9% 1.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27?No 99.9% 5.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?No 94% 5.2 shares