Polymarket Trader

personinsubway

0xe26ae5559f07e95d717f6f4be61061e2b29254a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.79
Realized PnL: $22.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $78.75
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $52.03
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $20.57
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $10.89
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.17
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $16.06
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.02
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $14.11
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $12.34
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.82
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $13.31
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $14.68
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.44
Potential profit: $12.44
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $7.24
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.7%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $12.61

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.34

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

No 79% 15.62 shares
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 56.7% 31.05 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

No 32% 15.63 shares
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Yes 40.2% 12.44 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 69% 10.86 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 46% 10.87 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 26% 19.23 shares
US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?

Yes 25% 19.99 shares
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares