Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.16K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $225
Polymarket Trader
Dar1us
0xe278e3c172e37d91190476012625829008f0b608
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.24K
- Realized PnL
- $71.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.68K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$275
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- $232.5
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $2.56K
- Potential payout
- $3.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$46.13
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $100.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $258.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $524.99
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $35.01
No position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $261.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.7%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$705.32
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $24.53
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $559.97
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $295.55
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$96.56
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.6K
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $148.95
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $323.81
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $9.97
- User PnL
- $109.51
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $148.38
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$12.21
Yes position
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $438.13
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $699.87
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$16.84
Yes position
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $972.92
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $460.86
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $79.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $785
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $215
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $135
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $981
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $61
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $850
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $750
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $250
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $865
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $155
Yes position
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $830
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $981.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $481.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9K
Yes position
Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.41K
No position
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37K
Yes position
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6K
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.02K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $90,000 by Thursday?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 40% 1,138 shares
- Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 45% 1,137.92 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 68.7% 3,774.8 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 5,029.8 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 10,000 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 10,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 98.6% 1,000 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 80.4% 2,734.9 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 72.6% 2,133.2 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 96.4% 6,185.49 shares
- Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?No 95% 1,645.3 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 89% 1,000 shares