No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $88.27
- Potential payout
- $103.24
- Potential profit
- $14.97
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Polymarket Trader
Theholeintheuniversethatwearsaface
0xe2850b5f9f3a3174d86970427fcaf9203ef5b932
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.69
- Realized PnL
- $102.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.88
- Potential profit
- $52.88
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.75
- Potential profit
- $18.75
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.67
- Potential profit
- $14.67
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.46
- Potential profit
- $13.46
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $10.17
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $9.49
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No 92% 103.24 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No 89.6% 9.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.9% 7.93 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 88.2% 7.94 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 85.2% 9.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No 70.7% 9.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 99.9% 6.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 89% 6.72 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 99.9% 5.69 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 79% 5.7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 56% 8.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 70% 8.57 shares