Polymarket Trader

MohammedSPatel

0xe29166cdd7de12eef91eda94af180404f04cd36d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $18.46
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 21.3%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $4.12
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $2.72
Potential payout: $3.26
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $2.34
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.77

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.6%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $1.32
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.32
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?

No 84% 1.19 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

No 88% 1.09 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

No 74% 1.35 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 79% 1.27 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 64% 1.56 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Yes 79% 1.26 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 66.7% 1.5 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Up 73% 1.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 78% 1.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Down 89% 1.11 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

No 91% 1.09 shares