Polymarket Trader

TommyFules

0xe2918b89f057b1950b22998e564ce06649af3b09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $383.78
Realized PnL: $15.63
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $760
Potential profit: $739.1
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $32.83
Potential payout: $586.21
Potential profit: $553.38
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $413.79
Potential profit: $384.66
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$6.87

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $76.78
Potential payout: $396.82
Potential profit: $320.03
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $21.78

Yes position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.04
Potential profit: $331.04
User PnL: -$46.25

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $30.3
Potential payout: $301.47
Potential profit: $271.17
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $12.09
Potential payout: $298.53
Potential profit: $286.44
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$3.91

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.3
Potential profit: $296.3
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Current value: $77.28
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $190.58
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $47.28

Yes position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $53.88
Potential profit: $32.9
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $48.63
Potential profit: $37.08
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $18.11
Potential payout: $35.27
Potential profit: $17.16
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: -$1.89

Messi position

World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $33.04
Potential payout: $33.87
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $12.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $19.14

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

No position

Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$11.75

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$13.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 760 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 124.4 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 617.33 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 535.81 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 162.79 shares
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

No 64% 34.48 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 138.68 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 312.5 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 89% 34.48 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 617.33 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 413.79 shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 92% 50.76 shares