No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- User PnL
- -$1.27K
Polymarket Trader
gemblue
0xe2a8980b216ef034ac8649dc4dff15b15c499df1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $623.62
- Realized PnL
- $497.91
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $134.95
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.87K
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $488.66
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $10.7
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$953.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.63
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 28.9% 1,656.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?Yes 92.6% 2,159.28 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 48% 2,636 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 88% 2,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 3,472.22 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 73% 1,306.15 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes 75.8% 953.49 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 72% 3,472.22 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No 53.5% 1,868.55 shares