Polymarket Trader

Kaixinsanxiao

0xe2b0b9f4121fb037d9c5bf5c5da19944c0871a4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.5
Realized PnL: $77.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump say "Normandy" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.71
Potential profit: $185.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Declaration of Independence" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.22
Potential profit: $122.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.68
Potential profit: $42.68
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $15.65
Potential payout: $41.9
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $29.27
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $25.14
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $19.66
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ballroom" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.97
Potential profit: $12.97
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $5.33
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Mavericks

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

76ers position

76ers vs. Jazz

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Hawks position

Warriors vs. Hawks

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Nuggets position

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pelicans

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Hornets position

Grizzlies vs. Hornets

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Wizards

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 7.41 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.8% 13.97 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 35.71 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.8% 27.93 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 62% 4.84 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 65.7% 4.57 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 65.6% 7.62 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 65.6% 30.49 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

No 66% 9.09 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Yes 78% 2.56 shares