0xE2B44168f9C361a06a64ED3Fe0E858634E883c5A-1764710056110

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $32.26
Potential payout: $4.03K
Potential profit: $4K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$312.72

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $198.12
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.61

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $13.47
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$21.76

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $153.96
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $30.42

No position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $902.03
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $152.98
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $5.27

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $109.97
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $937.4
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$5.24

Yes position

Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

Will Jordan Pickford win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $906.81
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $123.66
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $73.4
Potential payout: $978.72
Potential profit: $905.32
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$64.13

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $472.51
Potential payout: $964.31
Potential profit: $491.8
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$176.56

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $950.69
Potential profit: $949.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $42.43
Potential payout: $932.63
Potential profit: $890.2
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $15.16

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $870.15
Potential profit: $870.15
User PnL: -$104.42

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $105.09
Potential payout: $840.72
Potential profit: $735.63
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$19.57

Under position

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $77.06
Potential payout: $811.19
Potential profit: $734.13
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$27.2

Yes position

Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.18
Potential payout: $697.08
Potential profit: $692.9
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660
Potential profit: $660
User PnL: -$5.12

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $17.19
Potential payout: $603
Potential profit: $585.81
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$16.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $548.09
Potential profit: $534.94
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$14.25

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $210.11
Potential payout: $518.8
Potential profit: $308.69
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$33.85

No position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $182.73
Potential payout: $507.57
Potential profit: $324.84
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$20.3

No position

World Cup: Winless Team?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $499
Potential profit: $498.5
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414
Potential profit: $414
User PnL: -$37.26

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$32

No position

Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $250
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395
Potential profit: $395
User PnL: -$45.7

Under position

Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $31.96
Potential payout: $376
Potential profit: $344.04
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $93.11
Potential payout: $326.8
Potential profit: $233.69
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$11.47

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $34.51
Potential payout: $300.11
Potential profit: $265.6
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $197.53
Potential payout: $292.63
Potential profit: $95.1
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$4.39

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $166.92
Potential payout: $290.3
Potential profit: $123.38
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $287.5
Potential profit: $278.01
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $282.65
Potential profit: $280.67
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$5.68

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $67.09
Potential payout: $268.35
Potential profit: $201.26
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$10.73

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $234.24
Potential payout: $256
Potential profit: $21.76
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $48.86

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $92.39
Potential payout: $253.82
Potential profit: $161.43
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $216.69
Potential payout: $250.51
Potential profit: $33.82
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $28.86

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $243.94
Potential payout: $249.05
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $32.23
Potential payout: $247.9
Potential profit: $215.67
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $221.42
Potential payout: $226.75
Potential profit: $5.33
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.93

No position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $214.16
Potential payout: $218.2
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.89

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $172.43
Potential payout: $215.54
Potential profit: $43.11
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $195.74
Potential profit: $194.08
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $34.76
Potential payout: $193.11
Potential profit: $158.35
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$13.26

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $173.33
Potential payout: $186.48
Potential profit: $13.15
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$3.26

Yes position

Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $155.7
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $64.22
Potential payout: $169
Potential profit: $104.78
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $21.97

Yes position

Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $13.94
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $154.06
Multiplier: 12.05x
User PnL: $8.43

No position

Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $87.51
Potential payout: $159.11
Potential profit: $71.6
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$20.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $973.04

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $941.56

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.12

Yes position

Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.16

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.22

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.56

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $512.2

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.81

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.61

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.14

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.66

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $185.49

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.66

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.56

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.2

Yes position

Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.7

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.76

No position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.19

No position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.38

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.94

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.03

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.49

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.79

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $192 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.55

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.47

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Ecuador?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.77

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.19

Yes position

Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.28

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.6

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.75

No position

Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.59

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $61.52

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $57.73

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.22

Yes position

Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $54

Yes position

GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Multiplier: 14.08x
User PnL: $49.09

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $48.47

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.38

No position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $48.1

Yes position

Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $46.22

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $45.93

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.36

Yes position

Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.27

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.9

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?