Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $412.71
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Polymarket Trader
0xe2b5...326d
0xe2b594e3783b8fba8c606cc21492f3640775326d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $289.64
- Realized PnL
- $1.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $7.46
- Potential payout
- $115.7
- Potential profit
- $108.24
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $3.11
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $55.03
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $18.87
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $30.15
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$6.13
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $48.27
- Potential profit
- $28.48
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $18.51
- Potential payout
- $48.08
- Potential profit
- $29.57
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $16.59
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $28.86
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$8.41
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $44.64
- Potential profit
- $35.49
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$15.85
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $14.19
- Potential payout
- $43.01
- Potential profit
- $28.82
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$10.81
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $12.52
- Potential payout
- $42.46
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $13.75
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $27.92
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$11.25
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $39.8
- Potential profit
- $39.78
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.93
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $14.68
- Potential payout
- $39.68
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.32
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $19.33
- Potential payout
- $38.27
- Potential profit
- $18.94
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $38.27
- Potential profit
- $28.89
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $32.77
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12.87
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $11.63
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $25.88
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $15.67
- Potential payout
- $37.31
- Potential profit
- $21.64
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.33
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $26.91
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $27.64
- Potential profit
- $24.74
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$7.05
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $21.85
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $22.61
- Potential profit
- $22.6
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $19.32
- Potential profit
- $9.58
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.26
- Potential payout
- $12.44
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.55
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.08
No position
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.98
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.88
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.84
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.79
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.19
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.46
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.38
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.08
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
RB Leipzig position
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 7?No 52% 48.08 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7?No 67% 37.31 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 6?No 63% 39.68 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 on June 30?No 66% 37.88 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 6?No 51.8% 48.27 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 5?No 58.1% 43.01 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 4?No 60% 41.67 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?No 58.9% 42.46 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?No 55% 45.45 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 4?No 51% 49.02 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?No 57% 37.5 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?No 53.8% 46.48 shares