No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $399.8
- Potential payout
- $407.34
- Potential profit
- $7.54
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Polymarket Trader
polinada
0xe2bf60f18aab4a9b2a65f294d5b25d17a9f8cb5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $784.36
- Realized PnL
- $256.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $40.61
- Potential payout
- $133.16
- Potential profit
- $92.54
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$59.39
No position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $96.89
- Potential payout
- $103.12
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $49.83
- Potential payout
- $56.94
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $32.11
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $14.77
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.17
- Potential payout
- $20.21
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $20.02
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $10.17
- Potential payout
- $10.33
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $10.21
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10.09
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $6.12
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.01
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
Yes position
Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
GPT ads by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 44.44 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.2% 407.33 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.1% 101.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?Yes 56% 17.86 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.9% 20.02 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 98.5% 10.15 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 98.5% 10.15 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 12.05 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 25.97 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 77% 12.99 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 81.1% 12.33 shares