Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $206.8
- Potential payout
- $356.55
- Potential profit
- $149.75
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $2
Polymarket Trader
lw-mm-lp
0xe2cecb6a6a0f73890e344924fc2278d66089aec5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $206.8
- Realized PnL
- $476.28
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $264.69
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $133.84
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $85.92
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Multiplier
- 5.08x
- User PnL
- $2.53
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Up position
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Down 53.2% 138.95 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?Down 59% 4.19 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Down 64% 142.22 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Up 35% 3.41 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Down 53% 11.1 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Up 43% 186.75 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Down 41.2% 73.89 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?Down 41.3% 126.11 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?Up 76% 83.77 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?Up 73% 59.65 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?Up 58% 200 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?Up 66% 149.73 shares