asdfasdf111

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $14.44
Potential profit: $7.44
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.64
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.82
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 13?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.87
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.45
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.73
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.35
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.2
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.84
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on July 14?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.76
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 31.4%
Multiplier: 3.19x
User PnL: $22.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $16.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET