Polymarket Trader

ripper2020

0xe2e6cc301b02fea520be107288c86ef75dee060c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.25
Realized PnL: $442.45
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $102.94
User PnL: -$35

No position

Claude 4.7 released by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.76
Potential profit: $38.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.93
Potential profit: $19.93
User PnL: -$9.09

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.28
Potential profit: $16.28
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.96
Potential profit: $12.96
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Over position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$1.02

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.18
Potential profit: $3.18
User PnL: -$1.08

Colombia position

Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14
Potential profit: $3.14
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.81

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.56

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.52

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.55

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Chelsea FC position

Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.2

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.33

Over position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Under position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.22

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$6.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 61% 10 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 58% 10 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 79% 10.73 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 4.3% 106.38 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 24% 15.29 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 4.7% 106.38 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 72% 10.31 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 65.3% 15.3 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 47.5% 21.04 shares
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Under 38% 2.63 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares