Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $14.57
- Potential payout
- $346.96
- Potential profit
- $332.39
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Polymarket Trader
0xE2eE2d05F84a891628782dd733E1ad6c7D98d1C4-1781816321231
0xe2ee2d05f84a891628782dd733e1ad6c7d98d1c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.63
- Realized PnL
- $16.31
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.74
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $42.89
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.74
- Potential profit
- $19.74
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?Yes 34% 11.76 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 19% 52.63 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 4.3% 346.96 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 11% 269.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 7.6% 19.74 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 12% 12.5 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 12% 12.5 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 0.4% 333.33 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 269.23 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.1% 37.83 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 37% 37.84 shares