Polymarket Trader

moonshadow123

0xe2ff09b33acbd2e968edf7a32ba4a76770e291dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.69
Realized PnL: $1.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $369.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.07

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $242
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.09
Potential profit: $237.09
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.04
Potential profit: $198.04
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.3
Potential profit: $195.3
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.05
Potential profit: $186.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.06
Potential profit: $183.06
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.76
Potential profit: $154.76
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.6
Potential profit: $122.6
User PnL: -$44.14

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.21
Potential profit: $121.21
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $16.77
Potential payout: $104.78
Potential profit: $88.02
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$33.23

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.31
Potential profit: $103.31
User PnL: -$39.26

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $97.56
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.21

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.65

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.86

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.75

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.56

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.96

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.77

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.22

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.78

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

76ers position

76ers vs. Warriors

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.23

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.57

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.38

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.44

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 47.7% 104.78 shares
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

No 32.8% 30.45 shares
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Yes 27% 74.05 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 45% 20 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?

Yes 54% 73.05 shares
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 4% 250 shares
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 2.7% 370.37 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 38% 103.31 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 36% 122.6 shares
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs

Spirit 61% 64.81 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 45% 88.89 shares