Polymarket Trader

crop?

0xe30898ebedefd06a8acd3ea2bfdd7a00bd67309c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $420.01
Realized PnL: $2.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $46.17
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $432.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $34.75
Potential payout: $499.96
Potential profit: $465.21
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $50.17
Potential payout: $456.05
Potential profit: $405.89
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $319.15
Potential profit: $315.8
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$11.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $303
Potential profit: $293.3
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $73.23
Potential payout: $228.84
Potential profit: $155.61
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$1.77

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $32.14
Potential payout: $210.78
Potential profit: $178.64
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the G7 Summit?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.6
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.53
Potential profit: $198.53
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $195.54
Potential profit: $193.68
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$3.14

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $49.51
Potential payout: $191.53
Potential profit: $142.02
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: -$50.49

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $22.1
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $147.9
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$24.3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.08
Potential profit: $156.08
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.23
Potential profit: $152.23
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $29.13
Potential payout: $149.41
Potential profit: $120.27
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$20.87

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.33
Potential profit: $138.33
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.89

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.39

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.16

Yes position

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.67

Yes position

Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.58

No position

Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.65

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.01

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $91.87

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.98

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.89

No position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.58

Yes position

Will another Pump.fun coin be first to $1b?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.54

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.13

No position

Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.41

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.74

Yes position

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.44

Yes position

Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $44

No position

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $41

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $41

No position

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $40

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.98

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 44% 56.82 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 55% 43.64 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

No 78% 50 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 12% 111 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

No 14.5% 138.33 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,424.32 shares
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Yes 25% 120 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 59% 50.85 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?

Yes 37.9% 113.34 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 12% 166.66 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 42% 107.14 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

No 29% 89.66 shares