Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $23.45
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Polymarket Trader
mysterystrangr
0xe30bfb6336b72ec888b077d7daa9b2a546a498cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.18
- Realized PnL
- $221.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $452.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $405.36
- Potential profit
- $393.81
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188.9
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $25.96
- Potential payout
- $118.02
- Potential profit
- $92.06
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $33.86
- Potential payout
- $72.05
- Potential profit
- $38.19
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$15.22
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $21.74
- Potential payout
- $51.16
- Potential profit
- $29.42
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 3.6% 68.8 shares
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 3.5% 33.4 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 49% 20.52 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the July decision?Yes 74% 18.23 shares
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 3.6% 30.67 shares
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 4.3% 87 shares
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 6.7% 20.38 shares
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 5.8% 48.8 shares
- Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes 3% 37.41 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 322.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.3% 200 shares
- Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Yes 27% 8.21 shares