Polymarket Trader

Lycurgus

0xe3118b6f2821aee3bd90f9ff557de813abdeebef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $29.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tom Cotton win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.6K
Potential profit: $29.6K
User PnL: -$220.16

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$514.42

Yes position

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$295.98

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$1.24K

Yes position

Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$28.59

Yes position

Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.67
Potential profit: $152.67
User PnL: -$2.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97K

Buccaneers position

Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

No position

Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021?

Ends Feb 28, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

No position

Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?

Ends Nov 26, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th?

Ends Feb 10, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021?

Ends Feb 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.71

No position

Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?

Ends Jun 22, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.87

Democratic position

Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $861.64

Yes position

Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $835.69

No position

Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?

Ends Jun 15, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $792.02

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $760

Yes position

Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021?

Ends Feb 3, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $721.49

Bezos position

Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021?

Ends Apr 25, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $715.93

Dodgers position

Who will win the 2020 MLB World Series?

Ends Oct 29, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $644.98

No position

Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?

Ends Oct 5, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.73

No position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?

Ends Feb 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.94

Republican position

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 139027.20x
User PnL: $509.56

Democratic position

Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.38

Yes position

Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.71

Suozzi position

NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)

Ends Feb 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395.73

Trail Blazers position

Will the 76ers or the Trail Blazers win their February 11th matchup?

Ends Feb 11, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.59

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Yes 14% 1,595.9 shares
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Yes 6.6% 2,703.7 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

No 56% 2,213.13 shares
Biden drops out in July?

Yes 12% 200 shares
Biden nominated by July 21?

No 93% 320.47 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 6% 9,888.79 shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Yes 15.5% 2,244.33 shares
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Yes 1.5% 1,152 shares
Biden drops out in July?

Yes 53% 200 shares
Biden drops out today?

Yes 3% 500 shares
Biden drops out today?

Yes 2.2% 1,173 shares
Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31?

Yes 4.8% 600 shares