Polymarket Trader

Late4CakeJohn

0xe3164027a2be859579fcd84fce34513f0bc9bcf9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.08K
Realized PnL: $97.79
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $249.27
Potential payout: $250.53
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $249.03
Potential payout: $249.4
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $247.26
Potential payout: $248.88
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 England?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $247.01
Potential payout: $248.38
Potential profit: $1.37
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $247.8
Potential payout: $248.05
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $247.3
Potential payout: $247.42
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $246.43
Potential payout: $246.8
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $246.43
Potential payout: $246.8
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $246.43
Potential payout: $246.8
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $245.49
Potential payout: $245.86
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $244.51
Potential payout: $245.12
Potential profit: $0.61
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $244.75
Potential payout: $245.12
Potential profit: $0.37
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $235.47
Potential payout: $235.59
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $171.07
Potential payout: $173.94
Potential profit: $2.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $164.71
Potential payout: $164.79
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $139.94
Potential payout: $140.86
Potential profit: $0.92
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $91.38
Potential payout: $91.42
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $84.89
Potential payout: $87.11
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $68.92
Potential payout: $68.95
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $53.3
Potential payout: $53.35
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $47.75
Potential payout: $48.4
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $33.97
Potential payout: $34.86
Potential profit: $0.89
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.23
Potential payout: $23.24
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.96

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Czechia position

Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Yes position

Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.5% 87.11 shares
Exact Score: DR Congo 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?

No 99.4% 248.88 shares
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?

No 98.6% 173.94 shares
Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 England?

No 99.4% 248.38 shares
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Belgium?

No 99.1% 248.38 shares
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Belgium?

No 99.3% 109.2 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.7% 246.8 shares
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

No 99.9% 246.8 shares
Bill Gates charged by June 30?

No 99.9% 246.8 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 53.35 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.9% 245.86 shares
Exact Score: Türkiye 3 - 3 United States?

No 98.4% 171.73 shares