Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0xe31b69A0d64C2483654CaE73F15C98836b6F5f28-1769024771862
0xe31b69a0d64c2483654cae73f15c98836b6f5f28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.27
- Realized PnL
- $3.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.05K
- Potential profit
- $7.05K
- User PnL
- -$119.99
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $5.41K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$586.47
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $807.08
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $16.25
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $740.74
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $708.95
- Potential profit
- $708.95
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $562.36
- Potential profit
- $562.36
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.08
- Potential profit
- $558.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $512.05
- Potential profit
- $511.28
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.23
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $46.3
- Potential payout
- $487.34
- Potential profit
- $441.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$53.7
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $476.19
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.24
- Potential profit
- $344.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $322.58
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $311.56
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $890.7
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $881.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.06
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.59
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113.64
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.36
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.85
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.15
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.17
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.38
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.11
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.15
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.88
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.62
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.67
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Yes 1.8% 558.08 shares
- KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 39.7% 25.19 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 1.8% 562.36 shares
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 5.3% 186.98 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 5.4% 185.48 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 12.6% 79.54 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 312.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 1.9% 1,045.3 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 2.1% 101.69 shares