Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.6K
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Polymarket Trader
Yosiko
0xe33a76226eb570e53095b437f3af03335379d8f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.5K
- Realized PnL
- $10.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $419.2
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $149.72
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $909.99
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $678.75
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $71.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $78.75
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $251.24
- Potential payout
- $749.98
- Potential profit
- $498.74
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $19.32
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $300.55
- Potential profit
- $300.1
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$93.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.48
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $788
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $746.96
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $591.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.5
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.25
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.88
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.26
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.16
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.99
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.41
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.97
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.39
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.99
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $229
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.92
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.59
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.99
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 10,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.9% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.5% 594.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7.2% 2,500.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.8% 951.53 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 80.6% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 54% 1,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.6% 197.56 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes 7.9% 750 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 3.7% 187 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 62% 212.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.9% 1,500 shares