Polymarket Trader

Geopolitician008

0xe35da822997dd3aeb1d7304d0d807c63d9110de2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: $261.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$360.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $16.39
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $3.39

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $25.43
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $7.28

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $18.65
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $18.15
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $29.15
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $4.68

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $25.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $9.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $549.37
Potential payout: $620.76
Potential profit: $71.39
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$2.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $530.54
Potential payout: $564.1
Potential profit: $33.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$11.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $491.18
Potential payout: $500.44
Potential profit: $9.26
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $416.43
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$0.53

No position

Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$399.2

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.65
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.72

Hawks position

Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.38
Potential profit: $209.38
User PnL: -$98.41

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $193.2
User PnL: -$98.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$19.6

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.25
Potential profit: $124.25
User PnL: -$99.4

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.72
Potential profit: $114.72
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.45
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $81.55
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $16.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.15

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.44

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Knicks position

Hawks vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.3% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 88.9% 620.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.1% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 96.1% 564.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.6% 500.44 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia?

Yes 10% 70 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?

Yes 8% 120 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia?

Yes 11% 100 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 1 Colombia?

Yes 16% 100 shares
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 1 Panama?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 0 Panama?

Yes 9% 100 shares